Finnvera Group’s Half-Year Report 1 January–30 June 2020
H1/2020 (H1/2019)Domestic loans and guarantees granted: EUR 926 million (EUR 430 million), change 115%Export credit guarantees and special guarantees granted: EUR 1,747 million (EUR 2,259 million), change -23%Export credits granted: EUR 402 million (EUR 132 million), change 205%The credit risk for Finnish Export Credit Ltd’s export credits is covered by the parent company Finnvera plc’s export credit guaranteeThe fluctuation in the amount of export credit guarantees and export credits is influenced by the timing of individual major export transactions30 June 2020 (31 December 2019)Exposure, drawn domestic loans and guarantees: EUR 2,373 million (EUR 1,928 million), change 23%Exposure, export credit guarantees and special guarantees, incl. SME and midcap export credit guarantees and export guarantees: EUR 24,633 million (EUR 25,489 million), change -3%Of this, Large Corporates’ cruise shipping exposure EUR 12,792 million (EUR 13,786 million)Drawn exposure: EUR 11,431 million (EUR 11,443 million), change 0%, of which Large Corporates’ cruise shipping exposure EUR 3,487 million (EUR 3,669 million)Undrawn exposure EUR 9,162 million (EUR 9,486 million) and binding offers EUR 4,041 million (EUR 4,560 million), total change -6%, of which Large Corporates’ cruise shipping exposure in total EUR 9,304 million (EUR 10,117 million)Exposure, export credits drawn: EUR 7,290 million (EUR 7,229 million), change 0%Due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic the Group’s result for January–June showed a loss of EUR 423 million, whereas the result for the corresponding period last year showed a profit of EUR 72 million. The loss was caused by the significant credit loss provisions in export credit guarantee and special guarantee operations, made as a result of the pandemic. Expected credit losses increased by EUR 477 million (a decrease of EUR 5 million). Realised credit losses totalled EUR 17 million (EUR 14 million), showing a year-on-year increase of 19 per cent.At the end of June, the reserves accumulated from the Group’s operations, intended for covering credit losses, amounted to EUR 1.5 billion after loss provisions. The Group’s non-restricted equity and the State Guarantee Fund’s assets are included in the reserves. The State Guarantee Fund covers losses from export credit guarantee and special guarantee operations if the assets of the corresponding reserve on Finnvera’s balance sheet are not sufficient to cover an unprofitable result.In January–June, the Group’s net interest income grew by 22 per cent year on year and net fee and commission income was on a par with last year. Changes in the value of items recognised at fair value through profit or loss were EUR -2 million in January–June, whereas in the corresponding period last year, these items were EUR 17 million. Operating expenses and depreciation increased by 2 per cent year on year. The underlying reasons for this increase included the temporary agency workers recruited to process SME and midcap financing applications, the number of which grew due to the coronavirus pandemic, as well as the increase in depreciation due to IT investments made.Outlook for financingAccording to the Bank of Finland’s forecast, Finland’s GDP will decline by approximately 7 per cent this year. The Ministry of Finance estimates that the GDP will decrease by 6 per cent this year and increase by 2.5 per cent next year. According to the IMF’s forecast, the GDP will decrease globally by 4.9 per cent and in developed countries by 8.0 per cent.Finnvera is prepared to secure the availability of lending to viable enterprises in all stages of the crisis. During the remainder of the year, we will continue the bank financing guarantee programme and supplement the financial market also with Finnvera’s own senior and junior loans. We are also prepared for an increase in the number of enterprises in difficulties. We estimate that financing arrangements will become more difficult especially for those enterprises that would need arrangements for the second time during the crisis. Finnvera takes a flexible approach towards all arrangement and re-arrangement needs and hopes that the entire financing system follows suit.Our estimate is that during the autumn, the effects of the crisis will spread more intensively to export companies and their subcontracting chains in Finland. We expect that also in July–December, demand for domestic financing, when measured in euros, will remain on a par with the first half of the year. The reconstruction of economy proceeds at a different pace in different sectors. We are prepared to secure diverse forms of financing for new growth, too. This refers to the strengthening of enterprises’ eligibility for financing with Finnvera’s junior loans, for instance.Demand for export credit guarantees and export credits is influenced by order book development in export companies and the development of the availability of financing to the companies’ clients during the second half of the year. Planned investments have been postponed and it is estimated that the number of new orders will decline significantly, which would affect even large companies. On the other hand, the weaker availability of financing typically increases demand for financing guaranteed by export credit agencies. As in previous years, the overall demand is affected by the realisation of individual major projects.The pandemic has had a negative impact on the tourism sector, including cruise shipping and shipyards. The outlook for the sector is strongly affected by two factors: when shipping companies will have the chance to re-launch their operations and what kind of experiences the new beginning of cruises will bring along. In other major export industry sectors, we expect more buyers to be interested in financing their export transactions with export credit as the terms and conditions of commercial sources of financing become poorer. Demand is not expected to concentrate to certain geographical areas.Until the end of 2020, Finnvera has the opportunity to offer credit insurance also to so-called commercial risk countries, such as the EU Member States. Credit insurance helps exporters continue trade relations during times of uncertainty, which is important for the continuity of exports and for the Finnish economy.We are also preparing ourselves for responding to the working capital financing needs of major Finnish enterprises. The need to change our guidelines will be assessed as the situation evolves.In normal circumstances, our strategic goal is to allocate the majority of our financing to enterprises seeking growth and internationalisation as well as to investments, transfers of ownership and exports. During the coronavirus pandemic, we have expanded the allocation of financing to help all viable enterprises to overcome the crisis.On 1 July 2020, Finnvera gave a profit warning, reducing its outlook for 2020. The coronavirus pandemic still causes exceptional uncertainty in the outlook. On the basis of current financial forecasts, we estimate that, owing to credit loss provisions, Finnvera Group’s result for 2020 will show a loss due to the calculated impact of macroeconomic indicators and the decline of risk ratings of individual risk subjects.Further information:
Pauli Heikkilä, CEO, tel. +358 29 460 2400
Ulla Hagman, CFO, tel. +358 29 460 2458Half-year report 1 January–30 June 2020 (PDF)Distribution:
NASDAQ Helsinki Ltd, London Stock Exchange, the principal media, www.finnvera.fi/engThe half-year report is available in Finnish and English at www.finnvera.fi/eng/financial_reportsAttachmentHalf-Year Report H1 2020